Poochie’s Weather

Here are my thoughts that I posted on Foot’s Forecast…

“Expect a mix of rain and snow this evening, changing over to mainly snow after 8pm. A slushy accumulation of 1-2 is possible on grassy surfaces before it all ends. No worries spring athletes, a warm up is in our forecast for the weekend.  

Snow and rain will be intermittent tonight, with intensity increasing as the evening progresses. This first batch of precipitation  is relatively light but will build as the center of low pressure moves closer and more moisture becomes accessible. Between a quarter and half inch of precipitation is expected when all is said and done. Trying to translate that into snowfall accumulation is tricky with this storm. Subtract a tenth of inch for snowfall that won’t stick and another tenth of inch that may be rain, and you end up with with .05″-.3″ of precipitation that falls in the form of snow and sticks. With ratios around 1:10 that’s anywhere from a 1/2 inch to 3 inches of snow. 

Another tricky aspect of this storm is trying to locate the “sweet spot” for snow. Temperatures will be colder in northwestern parts of Maryland, but precipitation will be higher in southeastern Maryland. This indicates somewhere in between like places just north of I-95 could that “sweet spot”. Most all of the accumulation will occur on grassy surfaces or preexisting snow. However, early tomorrow morning be wary of some possible slushy spots on the roads.”

For our area, I am thinking an inch and a half of snow will accumulate on grass. I do not think a delay is out of the possibilities, but road surface temperatures will most definitely have to go down throughout the night. One good sign is that temperatures are currently crashing and are in the lower 30’s.

Hello PoochieFans!

So we had a sneaky 2-hr delay up here in Carroll County. The 5am rule came into effect. It was snowing at 5am, boom insta-delay.

I was going through the Sterling National Weather Service (who forecasts our weather) and found the snowfall accumulations for our region for all of the snowstorms.

December 5th First SnowDecember 8-9th Event

December Blizzard

January 7-8th Event

January 30th “Surprise Snow”

February 2nd Event

Feb Ultra Kahuna

Ultra Kahuna Round Two

That’s all of them except for the light snows we had this week.

So adding Friday’s snowfall, that’s nine accumulating snowfalls, six significant (4″+) snowfalls, and three 18″+ snow falls. WOW.

Lets see how this compares to average.

On an “average” year Baltimore receives…

An inch or more -5 times.

Two inches or more - 3.3 times.

Four inches or more - 1.4 times.

Six inches or more - .6 times.

Ten inches or more - .2 times.

Pretty amazing comparing to this year’s actual.

Some amazing total snowfall numbers I gathered using the data above…

Sykesville: 84.2″

Westminster: 85.7″

Frederick: 86.9″

Columbia: 83.3″

BWI: 79.9″

As for the weather this week… It should be relatively calm, besides Tuesday/Wednesday. A storm system looks to affect the east coast, and it looks like we could get a light snow event, or nothing at all. Keep your eyes peeled.

Let’s get one thing straight, there will be a major east coast storm Thursday-Friday. It will effect parts of the southern Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic and possibly US!

Winter Storm Watch currently in effect calling for the potential of 5 inches or more for Frederick, Howard, Carroll, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Cecil and St. Mary’s counties.

This storm will be extremely powerful bringing powerful winds and heavy snow. It also has huge bust potential for our area. Stay tuned for updates later today.

Hey all you diehard Poochie Fans.

Sorry for the delay on this next storm, I have been a tad busy.

Here is my general thought on this next storm:

• 1-2 inches south and east of I-95
• 2-3 inches bordering I-95
• 3-5 inches north and west of I-95

There may be some rain mixing in southern parts of Howard County as temperatures in the upper atmosphere may not be below freezing. Mixing would definitely cut down accumulations. Locations in the northern parts of Frederick and Carroll will most likely see the higher accumulations, possibly approaching 6 inches.

There is a possibility of some changes with this storm. I am working with the Foot’s Forecast team monitoring this situation closely as this storm looks to be pretty tricky.

So stay tuned for updates.

The National Weather Service has a Winter Storm Warning in effect for all of Maryland calling for 10-20 inches of the white stuff. Roads that haven’t been plowed, will not be plowed for a long time.

16-22 inches will surely fall in our area. Amounts will increase as you go east throughout the state. Highest accumulations will occur in northeastern Maryland.

Light snow will arrive between 2-3pm today turn to moderate snow by 6pm, then heavy snow will take us over from midnight to Wednesday afternoon. Snow will end by Wednesday evening.

Check out FootsForecast.org for in depth detail on the storm and our Facebook page for the updates. I will be posting some storm videos throughout the night on the facebook page.

Here’s something cool to look at. This is the water vapor imagery for the U.S. There is an upper-level low pressure in the Midwest (swirling piece) and a surface low coming up from the gulf.

Oh and remember, no school the rest of the week.

WOW.

Both NAM and GFS models agree on 15-21 inches in our area.12-18 inches looks like a good bet for the Central MD area, with accumulations increasing as you travel east.

Arrival time will be between 12pm-2pm tomorrow afternoon and the storm will departure Wednesday afternoon.This hurt this region bad. Some places will have over 50 inches of snow on the ground. I really have no clue what road crews are gonna do with all the snow. Hopefully all roads have been cleared by now, or else it may become impossible to clear them, after the next snow.

Winter Storm Watch still in effect calling for 10+ inches.

Oh and no school for the rest of the week.

Another 6-12 inches looks to be heading our way. This El Nino winter has a lot in store for us.

A Winter Storm Watch is already in effect for our region calling for 5+ inches of snow.

Right now 6-12″ looks like a good possibility. However one of the weather computer models (GFS) gives us 18-20 inches! Woah…not out of the realm of possibilities the way winter has been this year.Several models have had differing outcomes, so we will see which way the models trend.

Check for updates tomorrow.

Haha…. no way. I am not going to even consider school until Thursday. If my opinion changes on that, I will inform you.

During the storm I was up all night, out and about making some videos of the conditions. I posted them all on “Footsforecast” Facebook page. Here is one of them

And guess what? We have another storm. That could at maximum bring us 18″. But right now it is looking like 6-12 inches is a good possibility.

This storm will arrive Tuesday afternoon and exit Wednesday.

Here is a good link to see a summary of the storm and a bunch of storm totals

P.S. Carroll and Howard counties are already out Monday.

Last night’s snow was an appetizer, hope you aren’t full, because we got a main dish that won’t let you down.This sucker has the potential to be more powerful than the December blizzard we had. There is more precip in place, with higher temperatures. This will most likely produce anywhere between 12-24 inches of snow for our area.

Check out this satellite imagery.

I kid you not, but this already looks very similar to what the ‘93 perfect storm looked like but the storm was already over our area.

During the perfect storm our area received somewhere around 12 inches while places north of us received a general 12-20 inch. In fact localized reports of 30+ were reported. During this storm we had a rare situation where the jet streams encountered a triple phase. This means that all three jet streams (arctic, polar, sub-tropical) will combine and produce massive cyclogenesis (development of low pressure aka. explosion of moisture/wind). Theres a good history lesson for ya.

If 20 inches verifies, we will not have school Monday or Tuesday. There is also another storm possible Tuesday Night into Wednesday getting us that snow week that we have wanted for so long.

This snow will be heavy and wet causing problems with removal and possible roof collapses.

BUST POTENTIAL:A shift northward with this storm could bring possible mixing issues. Any sleet/freezing rain would cut down amounts. But sleet is just as good as snow for getting outta school.

Winter storm watch is already in effect from Friday morning to Saturday night. It states” ACCUMULATIONS…THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE 12 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW IN THE WATCH AREA…WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR  LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER 20 INCHES.”.

That’s a panic attack for MD.

Check footsforecast.org for the latest on this super kahuna.

We will have a two hour delay tomorrow. No if, ands, or buts.

I was pretty confident on no school earlier today, however radar indicates the storm getting outta here a little earlier than expected.

Winter storm warning says storm will be outta here between 4am-7am. I think it will be done with us by 2am.

Right now we have 3.25 inches. With the storm having around 2am and the snow coming down about .5-.75 inch per hour, we could have another 2-3 inches on top of the 3.25 we have now.

I think we are not going to have school, however my confidence is not 100% (more like 70%).

Special shout out to Diana’s mom, she’s been a true fan for long and she waited for this post. Thank ya Mrs. Cindy!